Thanks to Virus Comix for the cheese.
Politics time now.
First things first: In 2006 Democrats won the popular vote for the House of Representatives by about 8 points. In 2010, Republicans won the popular vote by about 6 points. That’s a shift of 14 points. There are plenty of broad structural explanations for this—the economy, dislike of health care reform, whatever—but beyond that, we’d also like to know if there were any specific groups that helped power this Republican victory. Was it the youth vote? The evangelicals? What?
To find out, you have to look for groups that swung by substantially more or less than 14 points. So here they are. Based on a comparison of 2006 and 2010 exit polls, here are the demographic groups that showed the biggest swing into the Republican column this year:
- Nonvoters from 2008 (+56)
- Independents (+36)
- Rural voters (+25)
- Northeast voters (+20)
- Age 65 and older (+21)
- Catholics (+21)
- White voters (+19)
- Income under $30,000 (+19)
- Income over $200,000 (+19)
- High school grads (+19)The most intriguing result here is the top one: People who didn’t vote in the previous presidential election shifted into the Republican camp at a fantastic clip.
But was there anyone out there who showed unusual loyalty to Democrats this cycle? Indeed there were. Here are the groups that showed the smallest swing into the Republican column:
- Liberals (-6)
- African-Americans (-2)
- Mothers (+1)
- “Other” religion (+2)
- Age 18-29 (+5)
- No high school (+7)
- Union households (+8)
- Big city voters (+8)
The full analysis is here.
“Mahatma Gandhi, as you know, walked barefoot most of the time, which produced an impressive set of calluses on his feet. He also ate very little, which made him rather frail and with his odd diet, he suffered from bad breath.
This made him……
A super-calloused fragile mystic hexed by halitosis!”
And if that’s not enough for you, check out the best football headline of all time. Inverness Caledonian Thistle unexpectedly beat one of the two giants of Scottish football, Glasgow Celtic, 3-1 in 2000. (More detail here if you want it.)
Super Caley Go Ballistic Celtic Are Atrocious
(Now that’s a headline that puts two fingers up to search engine optimisation.)
Wonder if it could be rewritten to reflect Obama’s recent shellacking? Now there’s a challenge…